December 16, 2008

The Russian balancing Act

At the turn of the last century, great naval fleets steaming over the Seven Seas was a cause for great pride, or concern, depending on who owned the ships.  The same is being thought about the Russian navy as joint naval exercises with Venezuela are completed and a ‘docking’ party is scheduled with Cuba.  This report about the Russian navy heading for Havana seems serious:  

 

A group of Russian warships will from December 19-23 visit the Communist island of Cuba, a long-time adversary of the United States and Moscow's ally in the Cold War, the Russian navy said on Monday.

 

"This will be the first visit to Cuba by Russian warships since the Soviet era," the Russian naval headquarters said in a statement.

 

The destroyer Admiral Chabanenko and two other ships will visit Havana in what the navy described as a "significant practical step towards strengthening and developing ties between the two states' navies."

 

Of course, mentioning the ol’ Cold War days is a way of spicing up the story by conjuring up images of May Day parades, pressed uniforms and shiny medals, and great rivalries.  But instead of a decisive marshalling of forces, the Russian naval maneuvering could be more of a screening exercise as falling oil prices damaged the Russian economy, and the Russian stock market has seen government shutdowns.  Russia like OPEC is inclined to cut oil production: 

 

December 11

Russia could join OPEC, cut oil production

Russian President Dmitry Medvedev refused to rule out on Thursday the possibility of Russia joining OPEC, and also said the country may cut oil production to regulate prices.

 

But financial woes don’t seem to be going away as the Ruble suffers a fall as well:

 

December 12, 2008       

Ruble Suffers Biggest Weekly Plunge Against Euro Since 2000

Russia’s ruble headed for its biggest weekly decline against the euro since 2000 after the central bank eased its defense of the currency for the fifth time in a month as foreign-exchange reserves fell.

 

A Russian official uttered the word for ‘recession’ just a few days ago.  Couple that with fears of ‘unrest’ and the squelching of a banned (i.e. illegal) opposition protest in Red Square, sending ships to Cuba maybe the only ‘positive’ distraction the Russian government has left. 

 

Posted by: at 12:10 PM | Comments (1) | Add Comment
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Great post, William; the Russians are HURTING from the drop in oil prices. We should keep the pressure on them, too, in my opinion; they`ve been using their newfound wealth to stick it to us.

 

Posted by: Timothy Birdnow at December 20, 2008 06:05 PM (q26a/)

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